What do a 20th-century physicist, an 18th-century statistician and an ancient Greek philosopher have in common? They all knew how to extrapolate with incredible accuracy. Columnist Jacob Aron explains ...

When Bob flips a coin and announces the result, what can we really know about which coin he chose? This video builds probability trees to reveal how new evidence systematically updates our beliefs, ...

Google Research has proposed a training method that teaches large language models to approximate Bayesian reasoning by learning from the predictions of an optimal Bayesian system. The approach focuses ...

Extended educational sessions that offer attendees the opportunity to learn research methods and techniques from prominent psychological scientists.

Most phenotypic variation in natural populations is attributable to multiple interacting loci, with allelic effects that are sensitive to the exact environmental conditions each individual experiences ...

Introduction Climate-sensitive mortality in rapidly urbanising tropical Africa is poorly characterised, and how pandemics disrupt established seasonal patterns remains underexplored. We analysed ...